Peace Index - July 2026
The current survey was conducted against the backdrop of public debates over the implementation of the agreements ending the fighting in Gaza and in Lebanon. In Gaza, the debate concerned the order of implementation of Trump’s plan for ending the war. In particular, the recent proposal suggests to first transfer authority to the temporary Palestinian government of experts and bring in the international stabilization force, and only afterwards act to disarm Hamas. In Lebanon, discussions, alongside tensions, continue over the implementation of the framework agreement signed between Israel and Lebanon. In this survey, we examined public attitudes toward both agreements, as well as toward the expansion of settlements in the West Bank, in addition to the recurring questions regarding support for negotiations and future solutions to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Support for Negotiations and Solutions to the Conflict with the Palestinians
- The level of support for negotiations with the Palestinian Authority among the Jewish public remains low, standing at 29%, a slight increase compared to 26% in the previous survey conducted in March 2026, but still within the low range measured since October 7, 2023. Among the Arab public, by contrast, support reverts to the high average of recent years following a momentary decline in March 2026 (81% in the current survey compared to 67% in March).
- The opposition to negotiations among Jewish respondents continues to concentrate on the right and among coalition voters. Among opinion-holders, only 7% of those who self-identify as right-wing and 22% of those identifying as moderate right support negotiations, compared to 54% of centrists and 83% of left-wing respondents. The voting breakdown paints this same picture: only 7% of opinion-holding coalition voters support negotiations, compared to 63% of opposition voters.
- The rate of belief that negotiations will lead to peace in the coming years remains very low. Among Jewish respondents it stands at only 12% (13% in March 2026), whereas among Arab respondents it stands at 48% (47% in March). In other words, even when support for negotiations rises, the increase is not accompanied by an expectation that they will in fact lead to an agreement.
- None of the four solutions presented receives majority support among the Jewish public, with some erosion in support for the two leading options. Annexation of the territories with limited rights to Palestinians remains the most popular option among Jews, but support for it declines from 38% to 33%; support for continuation of the status quo declines from 31% to 25%; support for the two-state solution remains stable (24% compared to 23% in the previous survey); and the option of a binational state remains the least supported, with only 6%. The result is a broader dispersion of positions, with no leading alternative.
- Among Arab respondents, the two-state solution remains the clearly preferred option, with 71% support, unchanged from the previous survey. By contrast, support for a binational state declines sharply, from 51% to 39%. Support for annexation (7%) and for continuation of the status quo (12%) remains very low. Thus, even given erosion in support for a solution based on equality within a single framework, Arab respondents continue to clearly prefer a solution based on partition.
- Among opinion-holders in the Jewish public, the partisan divisions remain particularly pronounced. Support for the two-state solution stands at 6% on the right, 16% among the moderate right, 39% in the center, and 80% on the left. By contrast, support for annexation stands at 53% on the right and 42% among the moderate right, but drops to 25% in the center and only 8% on the left. The voting breakdown tells a similarly clear story: 8% of coalition voters support the two-state solution, compared to 51% of opposition voters; conversely, 57% of coalition voters support annexation, compared to only 19% of opposition voters.
